So J-Bay just started. It is one of 2 remaining contests before the infamous Finals Day will decide this years World Champion at Lower Trestles. I’ve been working on this for a few days now. I was really hoping yesterday would be a lay day so I could post this before the contest started. Nonetheless, here we are, and here we go. Make of it what you will, I hope you enjoy.
With 2 events left, there are 21 possible scenarios of results for each surfer. They are as follows:
17th – 17th
17th – 9th
17th – 5th
17th – 3rd
17th – 2nd
17th – 1st
9th – 9th
9th – 5th
9th – 3rd
9th – 2nd
9th – 1st
5th – 5th
5th – 3rd
5th – 2nd
5th – 1st
3rd – 3rd
3rd – 2nd
3rd – 1st
2nd – 2nd
2nd – 1st
1st – 1st
This post is my attempt to give you all of the if-then’s. This is highlighting the current Top 5, so you can see who can catch them and how. If Yago does this, then who needs what to pass him, that type of deal. It’s quite lengthy. If you’re looking for someone specific, scroll down to find their photo.
I’m going to go from the top down so you can get somewhat of an understanding of what I am trying to do. The further away from the top we get, the more possibilities we have. If you want to skip all the number stuff and find out who needs what to be safe, scroll to the bottom.
FILIPE TOLEDO
If
1,330 (17th, elim) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 47,640
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
Ryan Callinan – two wins = 48,495
Leonardo Fioravanti – two wins = 48,580
Jack Robinson – two wins = 49,205
Gabriel Medina – two wins = 49,355
JJF – win + runner up 2nd(or better) = 48,770 (+)
If
3,320 (9th, R16) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 49,630
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
JJF – two wins = 50,970
If
4,745 (5th, QF) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 51,055
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
None
If
3,320 (9th, R16) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 51,620
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
None
GRIFFIN COLAPINTO
If
1,330 (17th, elim) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 46,880
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
Ryan Callinan – two wins = 48,495
Leonardo Fioravanti – two wins = 48,580
Robbo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,005 (+)
Medina – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,155 (+)
JJF – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 47,055 (+)
If
3,320 (9th, R16) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 48,870
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
Jack Robinson – two wins = 49,205
Gabriel Medina – two wins = 49,355
John John Florence – two wins = 50,970
If
4,745 (5th, QF) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 50,295
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
John John Florence – two wins = 50,970
If
6,085 (semi 3rd) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 51,635
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
None
If
3,320 (9th, R16) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 50,860
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
John John Florence – two wins = 50,970
If
4,745 (5th, QF) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 52,285
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
None
ETHAN EWING
If
1,330 (17th, elim) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 42,675
Who can catch him (not top 5) + how
Connor O’Leary – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 42,760(+)
Italo Ferreira – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 43,240 (+)
– two runner up 2nd’s = 42,755
Ryan Callinan – win + QF 5th (or better) = 43,240 (+)
– two runner up 2nd’s = 44,095
Leonardo – win + QF 5th (or better) = 43,325 (+)
– two runner up 2nd’s = 44,180
Robbo – win + QF 5th (or better) = 43,950
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 43,090 (+)
Medina – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,675 (+) tie
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 43,240
JJF – win + 9th R16 (or better) = 44,290 (+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 43,515 (+)
– two semi 3rd (or better) = 43,140 (+)
If
3,320 (9th, R16) + 1,330 (last, elim) = 44,665
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
Connor O’Leary – two wins = 44,960
Italo Ferreira – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 44,955 (+)
Ryan Callinan – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 46,295 (+)
Leonardo – win + semi 3rd (or better) = tie 44,665 (+)
Jack Robinson – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 45,290 (+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,805(+)
Gabriel Medina – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 45,440 (+)
– two runner ups 2nd’s (or better) = 44,955(+)
John John Florence – win + QF 5th (or better) = 45,715
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 44,855 (+)
If
4,745 (5th, QF) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 46,090
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
Italo Ferreira – two wins = 47,155
Ryan Callinan – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 46,295(+)
Leonardo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 46,380(+)
Robbo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,005(+)
Medina – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,155(+)
JJF – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 47,055
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 46,570
If
6,085 (semi, 3rd) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 47,430
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Ryan Callinan – two wins = 48,495
Leonardo – two wins = 48,580
Robbo – two wins = 49,205
Medina – two wins = 49,355
JJF – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 48,770(+)
If
7,800 (runner up 2nd) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 49,145
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Medina – two wins = 49,355
JJF – two wins = 50,970
If
10,000 (win) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 51, 345
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
None
If
3,320 (9th, R16) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 46,655
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
Italo Ferreira – two wins = 47,155
Ryan Callinan – two wins = 48,495
Leonardo – two wins = 48,580
Jack Robbo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,005(+)
Medina – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,155
JJF – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 47,055
If
4,745 (5th, QF) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 48,080
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Ryan Callinan – two wins = 48,495
Leonardo – two wins = 48,580
Robbo – two wins = 49,205
Medina – two wins = 49,355
JJF – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 48,770
If
6,085 (semi, 3rd) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 49,420
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
JJF – two wins = 50,970
If
7,800 (runner up 2nd) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 51,135
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
None
If
4,745 (5th, QF) + 4,745 (5th, QF) = 49,505
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Medina – two wins = 49,355
JJF – two wins = 50,970
If
6,085 (semi, 3rd) + 4,745 (5th, QF) = 50,845
Who can catch him (not in top 5) + how
None
JOAO CHIANCA
If
1,330 (17th, elim) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 42,300
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Connor O’Leary – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 42,760(+)
Italo Ferreira – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 43,240 (+)
– two runner up 2nd’s = 42,755
Ryan Callinan – win + QF 5th (or better) = 43,240 (+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 42,380 (+)
Leonardo – win + QF 5th (or better) = 43,325 (+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 42,465 (+)
Robbo – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,525 (+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 43,090 (+)
Medina – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,675 (+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 43,240(+)
JJF – win + 17th, R32 (or better) = tie 42,300 (+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF, 5th (or better) = 43,515(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 43,140 (+)
If
3,320 (9th, R16) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 44,290
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Connor O’Leary – two wins = 44,960
Italo Ferreira – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 44,955(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 44,580(+)
Leonardo – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 44,685(+)
Robbo – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 45,290
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,805(+)
Medina – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 45,440(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,955(+)
JJF – win + 9th, R16(or better) = tie 44,290(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 44,855(+)
If
4,745 (QF, 5th) + 1,330 (17th R32) = 45,715
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Italo Ferreira – two wins = 47,155
Ryan Callinan – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 46,295(+)
Leonardo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 46,380(+)
Robbo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,005(+)
Medina – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,155(+)
JJF – win + QF, 5th (or better) = tie 45,715(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 46,570(+)
If
6,085 (semi, 3rd) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 47,055
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Italo Ferreira – two wins = 47,155
Ryan Callinan – two wins = 48,495
Leonardo – two wins = 48,580
Robbo – two wins = 49,205
Medina – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,155(+)
JJF – win + semi 3rd (or better) = tie 47,055(+)
If
7,800 (runner up 2nd) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 48,770
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Robbo – two wins = 49,205
Medina – two wins = 49,355
JJF – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = tie 48,770(+)
If
10,000 (win) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 50,970
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
JJF – two wins = tie 50,970
If
3,320 (9th R16) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 46,280
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Italo Ferreira – two wins = 47,155
Ryan Callinan – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 46,295(+)
Leonardo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 46,380(+)
Robbo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,005
Medina – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,155(+)
JJF – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 47,055(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 46,750(+)
If
4,745 (QF, 5th) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 47,705
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Ryan Callinan – two wins = 48,495
Leonardo – two wins = 48,580
Robbo – two wins = 49,205
Medina – two wins = 49,355
JJF – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 48,770(+)
If
6,085 (semi 3rd) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 49,045
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Robbo – two wins = 49,205
Medina – two wins 49,355
JJF – two wins = 50,970
If
7,800 (runner up 2nd) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 50,760
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
JJF – two wins = 50,970
If
10,000 (win) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 52,960
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
None
If
4,745 (QF, 5th) + 4,745 (QF, 5th) = 49,130
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Robbo – two wins = 49,205
Medina – two wins = 49,355
JJF – two wins = 50,970
If
6,085 (semi 3rd) + 4,745 (QF, 5th) = 50,470
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
JJF – two wins = 50,970
If
7,800 (runner up 2nd) + 4,745 (QF, 5th) = 52,185
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
None
If
6,085 (semi 3rd) + 6,085 (semi 3rd) = 51,810
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
None
YAGO DORA
If
1,330 (17th, elim) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 34,780
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Rio Waida – two wins = 35,640
Seth Moniz – two wins = 36,205
Ian Gentil/Callum Robson (tied) – win + QF, 5th (or better) = tie 34,780(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 35,635(+)
Matt McGillivray – win + QF, 5th (or better) = 34,865(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 35,720(+)
Jordy Smith/Kanoa (tied) – win + QF, 5th (or better) = 35,430(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 36,285(+)
Liam O’Brien/Caio (tied) – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = tied 34,780(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 35,345(+)
Barron Mamiya – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 34,865(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 35,430(+)
Connor O’Leary – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 36,290(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 36,080(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF, 5th (or better) = 35,790(+)
Italo Ferreira – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,485(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim(or better) = 36,285(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 36,560(+)
– QF 5th (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 35,220(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 39,825(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 37,625(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 35,910(+)
– QF 5th (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 36,560(+)
– two 9th R16 (or better) = 35,135(+)
Leonardo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 39,910(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 37,710(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 35,995(+)
– QF 5th (or better) + 9th R16 (or better) = 36,645(+)
– two 9th R16 (or better) = 35,220(+)
Robbo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,535(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,335(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 36,620(+)
– QF 5th (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 35,280(+)
– two 9th R16(or better) = 35,845(+)
Medina – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,685(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,485(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 36,770(+)
– QF 5th (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 35,430(+)
– two 9th R16(or better) = 35,995(+)
JJF – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 42,300(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,100(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 17th, elim(or better) = 38,385(+)
– QF 5th (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 37,045(+)
– 9th, R16 (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 35,620(+)
If
3,320 (9th, R16) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 36,770
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Ian Gentil/Callum Robson (tied) – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 37,835(+)
Matt MacGillivray – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 37,920(+)
Jordy/Kanoa (tied) – win + semi 3rd (or better) = tie 36,770(+)
Liam O’Brien/Caio (tied) – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 37,545(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 37,060(+)
Barron Mamiya – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 37,630(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 37,145(+)
Connor O’Leary – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 38,280(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 37,505(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 37,130(+)
Italo Ferreira – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,485(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 38,275(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 37,985(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 39,825(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 37,625(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 9th, R16(or better) = 37,900(+)
– two QF 5th’s (or better) = 37,895(+)
Leonardo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 39,910(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 37,710(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 37,985(+)
– two QF 5th’s (or better) = 38,070(+)
Robbo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,535(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,335(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 38,610(+)
– QF, 5th (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 37,270(+)
Medina – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,685(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,485(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = tie 36,770(+)
– QF 5th (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 37,420(+)
JJF – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 42,300(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,100(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,385(+)
– QF 5th (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 37,045(+)
– two 9th, R16’s (or better) = 37,610(+)
If
4,475 (QF, 5th) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 38,195
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Ian Gentil/Callum Robson (tied) – two wins = 40,035
Matt McGillivray – two wins = 40,120
Jordy/Kanoa (tied) – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 38,485(+)
LOB/Caio (tied) – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 39,260(+)
Barron Mamiya – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 39,345(+)
Connor O’Leary – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 38,280 (+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 38,845(+)
Italo Ferreira – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,485(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 38,275(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 39,325(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 39,825(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16(or better) = 39,615(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 39,325(+)
Leonardo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 39,910(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 39,700(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF, 5th (or better) = 39,410(+)
Robbo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,535(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,335(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 38,610(+)
– two QF 5th’s (or better) = 38,695(+)
Medina – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,685(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,485(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 38,760(+)
– two QF 5th’s (or better) = 38,845(+)
JJF – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 42,300(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,100(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 38,385(+)
– QF 5th (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 39,035(+)
If
6,085 (semi, 3rd) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 39,535
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Ian Gentil/Callum Robson (tied) – two wins = 40,035
Matt McGillivray – two wins = 40,120
Jordy/Kanoa (tied) – two wins = 40,685
LOB/Caio (tied) – two wins = 41,460
Barron Mamiya – two wins = 41,545
Connor O’Leary – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 41,045(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 40,560(+)
Italo Ferreira – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,475(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 39,700(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 39,825(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 39,615(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 40,665(+)
Leonardo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 39,910(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 39,700(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 40,750(+)
Robbo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,535(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,325(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 40,035(+)
Medina – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,685(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,475(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 40,185(+)
JJF – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 42,300(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,100(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,375(+)
– two QF 5th’s (or better) = 40,460(+)
If
7,800 (runner up 2nd) + 1,330 (17th, elim) = 41,250
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
LOB/Caio (tied) – two wins = 41,460
Barron Mamiya – two wins = 41,545
Connor O’Leary – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 42,760(+)
Italo Ferreira – win + QF 5th (or better) = 41,900(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 41,815(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 42,380(+)
Leonardo – win + 9th, R32 (or better) = 41,900(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 42,465(+)
Robbo – win + 9th, R32 (or better) = 42,525(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,750(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 41,375(+)
Medina – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,675(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,900(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 41,525(+)
JJF – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 42,300(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,090(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,800(+)
If
10,000 (win) = 1,330 (17th, elim) = 43,450
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Italo Ferreira – win + runner up 2nd = 44,955
Ryan Callinan – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 44,58-(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,095(+)
Leonardo – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 44,665(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,180(+)
Robbo – win + QF 5th (or better) = 43,950(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,805(+)
Medina – win + QF 5th (or better) = 44,100(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,955(+)
JJF – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 44,290(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 43,515(+)
If
3,320 (9th, R16) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 38,760
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Ian Gentil/Callum Robson (tied) – two wins = 40,035
Matt McGillivray – two wins = 40,120
Jordy/Kanoa (tied) – two wins = 40,685
LOB/Caio (tied) – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 39,260(+)
Barron Mamiya – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 39,345(+)
Connor O’Leary – win + QF 5th (or better) = 39,705(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 38,845(+)
Italo – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,475(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF, 5th (or better) = 39,700(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 39,325(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 39,825(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 39,615(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 39,325(+)
Leonardo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 39,910(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 39,700 (+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 39,410(+)
Robbo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,535(+)
– runner up 2nd + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,325(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 40,035(+)
Medina – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,685(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,475(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = tie 38,760(+)
– two QF 5th’s (or better) = 38,845(+)
JJF – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 42,300(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,100(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,375(+)
– QF 5th (or better) + 9th, R16(or better) = 39,035(+)
If
4,745 (QF, 5th) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 40,185
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Jordy/Kanoa (tied) – two wins = 40,685
LOB/Caio (tied) – two wins = 41,460
Barron Mamiya – two wins = 41,545
Connor O’Leary – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 41,045(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 40,560(+)
Italo – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,475(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 41,040(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 41,815(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,040(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 40,665
Leonardo – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 41,900(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,125(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 40,750(+)
Robbo – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,535(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,325(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 41,374(+)
Medina – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 40,685(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,475(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = tie 40,185(+)
JJF – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 42,300(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,090(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 40,375(+)
– two QF 5th’s (or better) = 40,460(+)
If
6,085 (semi, 3rd) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 41,525
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Barron Mamiya – two wins = 41,545
Connor O’Leary – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 42,760(+)
Italo – win + QF 5th (or better) = 41,900(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 42,755(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + R16, 9th (or better) = 41,815(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 42,380(+)
Leonardo – win + R16, 9th (or better) = 41,900(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 42,465(+)
Robbo – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,525(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,750(+)
Medina – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,675(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,900(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = tie 41,525(+)
JJF – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 42,300(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,090(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,800(+)
If
7,800 (runner up 2nd) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 43,240
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Connor O’Leary – two wins = 44,960
Italo – win + semi 3rd (or better) = tie 43,240(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + QF 5th (or better) = tie 43,240(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,095(+)
Leonardo – win + QF 5th(or better) = 43,325(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,180(+)
Robbo – win + QF 5th (or better) = 43,950(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,805(+)
Medina – win + QF 5th (or better) = 44,100(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = tie 43,240(+)
JJF – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 44,290(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 43,515(+)
If
10,000 (win) + 3,320 (9th, R16) = 45,440
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Ryan Callinan – win + runner up 2nd = 46,295
Leonardo – win + runner up 2nd = 46,380
Robbo – win + runner up 2nd = 47,005
Medina – win + semi 3rd (or better) = tie 45,440(+)
JJF – win + QF 5th (or better) = 45,715(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 46,570(+)
If
4,745 (QF, 5th) + 4,745 (QF, 5th) = 41,610
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Connor O’Leary – win + runner up (or better) = 42,760(+)
Italo – win + QF 5th (or better) = 41,900(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 42,755(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 41,815(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 42,380(+)
Leonardo – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 41,900(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 42,465(+)
Robbo – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,525(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,750(+)
Medina – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,675(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,900(+)
JJF – win + 17th, elim (or better) = 42,300(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + 9th, R16 (or better) = 42,090(+)
– semi 3rd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 41,800(+)
If
6,085 (semi, 3rd) + 4,745 (QF, 5th) = 42,950
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Connor O’Leary – two wins = 44,960
Italo – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 43,240(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + QF 5th (or better) = 43,240(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,095(+)
Leonardo – win + QF 5th (or better) = 43,325(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,180(+)
Robbo – win + QF 5th (or better) = 43,950(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 43,090(+)
Medina – win + QF 5th (or better) = 44,100(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 43,240(+)
JJF – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = 44,290(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + QF 5th (or better) = 43,515(+)
– two semi 3rd’s (or better) = 43,140(+)
If
7,800 (runner up 2nd) + 4,745 (QF 5th) = 44,665
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Connor O’Leary – two wins = 44,960
Italo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 44,955(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 46,295(+)
Leonardo – win + semi 3rd (or better) = tie 44,665(+)
Robbo – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 45,290(+)
Medina – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 45,440(+)
JJF – win + QF 5th (or better) = 45,715(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 44,855(+)
If
10,000 (win) + 4,745 (QF 5th) = 46,865
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Robbo – win + runner up 2nd = 47,005
Medina – win + runner up 2nd = 47,155
JJF – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 47,055(+)
If
6,085 (semi 3rd) + 6,085 (semi 3rd) = 44,290
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Connor O’Leary – two wins = 44,960
Italo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 44,955(+)
Ryan Callinan – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 44,580(+)
Leonardo – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 44,665(+)
Robbo – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 45,290(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,805(+)
Medina – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 45,440(+)
– two runner up 2nd’s (or better) = 44,955(+)
JJF – win + 9th, R16 (or better) = tie 44,290(+)
– runner up 2nd (or better) + semi 3rd (or better) = 44,855(+)
If
7,800 (runner up 2nd) + 6085 (QF 5th) = 46,005
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Italo – two wins = 47,155
Ryan Callinan – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 46,295(+)
Leonardo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 46,380(+)
Robbo – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,005(+)
Medina – win + runner up 2nd (or better) = 47,155(+)
JJF – win + semi 3rd (or better) = 47,055(+)
If
10,000 (win) + 6,085 (QF 5th) = 48,205
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
JJF – win + runner up 2nd = 48,770
If
7,800 (runner up 2nd) + 7,800 (runner up 2nd) = 47,720
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
Ryan Callinan – two wins = 48,495
Leonardo – two wins = 48,580
Robbo – two wins = 49,205
Medina – two wins = 49,355
JJF – two wins = 50,970
If
10,000 (win) + 7,800 (runner up 2nd) = 49,920
Who can catch him (not in Top 5) + how
None
Here is what the current Final 5 needs to do to be safe.
FILIPE TOLEDO – QF 5th + 17th
– 9th, R16 + 9th, R16
GRIFFIN COLAPINTO – SEMI 3rd + 17th
– QF 5th + 9th, R16
ETHAN EWING – WIN + 17th
– RUNNER UP 2nd + 9th, R16
– SEMI 3rd + QF 5th
JOAO CHIANCA – WIN + 9th, R16
– RUNNER UP 2nd + QF 5th
– SEMI 3rd + SEMI 3rd
YAGO DORA – WIN + RUNNER UP 2nd
Should be a fun race. Thank you for the time.
Cheers,
hwilsin